The Aces held their last opponent to 71 points and they have really improved on their defense since the break, however, the Liberty are on a mission this season and they have played well at home and have the much better defense. The Aces will put up a good fight but the Liberty are focused in this rematch series, playing with extreme revenge from losing the playoff series 3-1 last season to this team, should lock down and pull away late in the game to win and cover. They have already won two of the last three games getting such a short number versus the Aces so they should cover. This is a longer series and anything can happen, but in this first game; New York strikes the first blow.

Best bet: lay the points with the Liberty.