Two good pitchers in this one and both have played to the under in their last several starts. However, this game is an important game as it will decide if the Mets or the Diamondbacks will get in once both games are played. This game should see more runs because the team that is behind will start to pour it on and this game could squeak over this low number as the teams get desperate. Megil hasn’t been as strong against the Braves and they could hit him for many runs. Likewise, if the Mets are behind, they have the offensive bats to get at the Braves so taking the Over has value. The total has gone Over in 5 of the Mets last 7 games against an opponent in the NL East division. The Mets are 12-4 to the Over as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.