This line is mispriced. At close to even odds, it implies an even pitching matchup, but further scrutiny suggests otherwise. Despite overall strong numbers, Assad has not been the same pitcher since June, coughing up 37 hits and 16 walks in 31.1 innings. The Cards just tagged him for 7 hits in 2.1 innings back on July 13. In his two career starts against St Louis, he owns an eye-popping 8.59 ERA. Fedde has been rock solid this year and will make an immediate impact with his new club. We are rockin' with the Birds here.