This one is pretty simple. The Spartans are just catching way too many points here. Yes, Michigan State was waxed by Ohio State last week, but I fully expect an improved effort here against a slightly overrated opponent.

While Oregon is clearly the superior team they have already looked vulnerable with narrow wins against Idaho and Boise State. With an eye on the monumental Ohio State clash next week, this feels like a classic let down spot. I expect a much closer game than this spread would indicate. Grab the Spartans and all those points.