The Mets are going to win this game. They will wrestle momentum back away from the Phillies and take a series lead behind a raucous Citi Field crowd. Aaron Nola was solid this season but not ace caliber. The Mets last saw him about three weeks ago and pounded him for six runs in 4.1 innings. I give a slight edge to the Mets on the hill tonight with Sean Manaea.

Despite their postseason success in recent years, the Phillies have not fared very well away from Citizens Bank, going just 2-6 in their last eight road playoff games.