The New York offense looked better last week, but it is not a great offense, and the Pats have allowed just 16.5 ppg so far. The New England offense was bad last year and doesn't look much better this year. They have averaged just 18.0 ppg so far and are mostly a running team, which will eat up the clock. The last two years, the teams have met 4 times and an average of just 24.25 ppg and all four games went Under the total. That seals the deal for me.