Paul Skenes faced Miami once last year and that game ended up 3-2. He had a 1.96 ERA overall last year, including a skinny 1.32 ERA on the road, and his last nine road starts a year ago averaged just 4.8 RPG. Despite having a 19-26 home record in his career, Sandy Alcantara has a 2.96 ERA in those games and he owns a 2.54 ERA in six career starts against the Pirates. This game will not produce more than 5 runs.