ASA play 8* on: Denver Nuggets -1.5 over Utah Jazz, 4PM ET

This series is tied one-to-one with the Jazz coming off a big Game 2 win. That sets up our wager here as the Nuggets have been exceptional off a loss this season with a 19-8 SU record and an average margin of victory of +4.6PPG. Going back two full seasons the Nuggets are 39-22 SU off a loss, +4.9PPG. Utah relies heavily on Donovan Mitchell to do a lot of the scoring with 57-points in the opener then 30 in Game 2, but he cannot sustain those types of numbers as this series progresses. The Jazz were a solid shooting team on the season at 47.1% which was 6th in the NBA but in Game 2 they shot remarkably well at 52%. We do not foresee those shooting statistics here against a Nuggets defense that will be highly motivated here off a poor showing. Granted the Jazz get Conley back here, but Denver has more scoring options with Jokic, Murray and Porter Jr. After the line move, the value and situation clearly favor the Nuggets in this game. Bet the Nuggets.