ASA top play 10* on: UNDER 216 Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers, 6:30 PM ET

We hate betting into a number that has moved as much as this Total has but we still feel based on current pace of play, there is still enough value here to bet Under. In the last game of this series these two teams combined for 181 total points which stayed well below the number. Three of the four games in the series have ended with 217 or less points scored. The field goal attempt numbers are what stands out to us here as last game saw just 147 shots taken. In Game 3 these two teams combined for 169 FGA’s which is still below league average. Los Angeles has been stifling on defense allowing 1.03 points per possession this series and Denver continues to play slow with an average of 15.3 seconds to get a shot up every possession. The Clippers have multiple defenders to throw and Nuggets guard Jamal Murray and have held him to under 20-points and less than 41% shooting in 3 of the four games thus far. Let’s not forget that Murray scored 142 combined points in just three games against the Jazz last round. The Under is now 40-18-1 the last 59 meetings between these two teams. Yes, we’ve lost some value from the opening game of this series, but tempo and pace are dictating another low scoring game here. Bet UNDER