ASA PLAY 8* ON New England +4 over Seattle, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET - This is the first time in 64 games that the Patriots have been an underdog! You read that correctly. Now we understand the Pats don’t have Brady under center, however Cam Newton looked pretty solid last week and they still have Belichick in charge. Another key here is Seattle’s home field advantage, which is easily one of the best in the NFL, is negated with no fans attending the game. That’s huge in our opinion. The Pats defense was lights out last year leading the NFL in YPG allowed, YPP allowed, and PPG allowed. They lost a few defensive players off that team but a number of key players are back and they looked very good again last week holding Miami to just 11 points on only 4.6 YPP. Some may say “well that was against Miami so big deal”. Let’s remember this Miami offense averaged 27 PPG over their final 7 a year ago. Holding any NFL team to 11 points is solid. Newton isn’t Brady. We know that. However might the Pats offense be a bit more diverse with Cam at QB this year? They ran for 217 yards last week and Newton was 15 of 19 through the air. If he can simply be efficient in the passing game, this offense could be very good. Seattle topped Atlanta 38-25 but they were actually outgained 505 to 383. As per usual, the Falcons put up huge offensive numbers but lose because of mistakes with 2 turnovers and 0 for 4 on 4th down situations in Seattle territory. The Seahawks were just 2-5 ATS last year as a home favorite and didn’t win a single home game by more than a TD. We love taking a top notch defense getting points. Especially with this one sitting above a FG. We like New England in this one.