ASA top play on 10* UNDER 221 New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves, 8 PM ET - The oddsmakers are telling us this game should be average in scoring based on league numbers, but our math models tell us differently. Our projections are 218.5 total points being scored here and a solid Under bet. Today’s NBA is driven by 3-point shooting and these two teams are two of the worst in the NBA from beyond the arc as both shoot just 33.4% which ranks 26th and 27th. The Pelicans new coach Stan Van Gundy has a reputation for defense, but they’ve given up ton of points their last five games. When we analyze those last five games though we see the Pels have played the 1st, 5th, 7th and 14th ranked offensive efficiency teams in the league. The Timberwolves are on the complete opposite end of the spectrum in that regard with the 29th (second to last) OEFF in the NBA. Minnesota has scored less than 100-points in four of their last five games. The Pelicans have had their own offensive struggles this season with an offensive efficiency rating of 1.092 which ranks 19th. New Orleans is one of the slower paced teams in the NBA this season and the Wolves have been much slower in their last five games compared to season averages. The last four times these two teams have met in Minny it’s resulted in an Under. That trend continues here. BET UNDER!