ASA top play on 10* UNDER 219.5 Denver Nuggets @ Miami Heat, 7:35 PM ET - We will start with tempo here as these two teams rank in the bottom half of the league when it comes to pace with Denver 26th and Miami 18th. The number on this game is set slightly below league average, yet we can’t see these two teams getting there based on pace of play. Miami has struggled offensively without Jimmy Butler or Tyler Herro in the lineup which is a big reason why they are 24th in the NBA in offensive efficiency ratings. In their last five games the Heat are averaging just 1.055 points per possession which is 2nd to last in the league. In that same five game span though the Heat have picked it up on the other end of the floor with the 12th best defensive efficiency rating. As we mentioned, Denver plays slow but they do make up for it with a highly efficient offense which can largely be attributed to Nikola Jokic who is nearly averaging a triple-double this season. But Jokic will have his hands full with defensive stopper Bam Adebayo and that will impact the overall efficiency of the entire Nuggets offense. Miami and their opponents have scored 220 or less points in 5 of their last six. If we eliminate over-time, Denver games have also totaled 220 or less in 5 of their last six games. Based on value, pace and Bam Adebayo we like Under here.