ASA top play on 10* OVER 6 Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs, 7:00 PM ET - The Maple Leafs were handed a 3-0 shutout loss by the Flames on Monday.  Toronto has scored an average of 4.2 goals per game when off a loss this season.  Certainly the Leafs will again respond off defeat here but this is also a team that has now allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of the last 5 games.  In those 4 games the Maple Leafs have allowed an average of 3.5 goals per game.  We are absolutely looking for a 4-3 type game here.  Calgary had allowed an average of 4.3 goals per game in the 4 games previous to the shutout win at Toronto Monday.  Also, the power play performance (0 for 7) for Toronto in that game Monday was entirely unexpected as the Maple Leafs, even including that rare 0 for 7, have converted 33% of their opportunities with the man advantage this season.  An average Leafs game this season is 6.3 goals and this one has a posted total of 6 even though it could easily be higher given the Maple Leafs track record of scoring well off of losses this year.  Based on value and the situation - and the fact the markets have not yet adjusted to a total of 6.5 goals - still holding at 6 as of mid-day, we like OVER here.