ASA play on 8* Indiana Pacers +4.5 over Dallas Mavericks, 8:40 PM ET - We feel the Mavericks are a bit over-priced here for several reasons. In comparison the Mavs were recently favored by -4.5 and 5-points against the Spurs and Thunder who aren’t as talented as this Pacers team. Dallas has been average on their home court this season with an 11-9 SU record and the 17th worst average point differential at home of minus -1PPG. The Mavs are 15th in offensive efficiency at home and 24th in defensive efficiency. Indiana is 14th in the league in average road differential of 0PPG and rank 14th in road offensive efficiency. Where they hold a decisive advantage in this match up is a road defensive efficiency rating of 12th best in the NBA. In their last five road games the Pacers have three quality wins over the Heat twice and the Phoenix Suns. The addition of Lavert for the Pacers has given them the scoring they desperately needed, and we see Indiana playing much better the second half of the season. Grab the points.