#927/928 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 9 Runs – Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates, Wednesday at 6:35 PM ET – Yesterday's game stayed under the total but the teams combined for 18 hits. The day before the teams combined for 19 hits. Based on Wednesday's pitching match-up, look for this game to get past the 20-mark in hits and we should see plenty of runs as a result. There is rain expected in Pittsburgh today but it should be confined to the late morning and early afternoon hours so there should be no weather concerns for this game. Prior to yesterday's under, the over was on a 6-1 run in Tigers games and a 6-0 run in Pirates games. Detroit starts Matt Manning in this one and he was hammered for 8 earned runs in 3 and 2 / 3 innings in most recent start and that was at home. Now he is on the road where he is 1-4 with an 8.16 ERA this season. Pittsburgh starts Mitch Keller in this one. Keller is off a strong road outing but allowed 7 earned runs in 5 and 1 / 3 innings in prior start and that was at home. He has struggled at home this season with a 2-7 record and 8.31 ERA and the over is 8-3 in his 11 home starts on the year. Manning getting hit at a .305 clip on the season and Keller getting hit at a .310 clip on the season. Two very hittable pitchers and you have two teams that have been swinging the bats well over the past week. Look for the over trending to resume here as neither one of these teams is known for strength in terms of their relievers either. The Detroit bullpen has a 5.54 ERA on the road this season. The Pirates bullpen ranks near the bottom of the National League this season for ERA. This total is in the 9 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet the Over