#913/914 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 10 Runs – New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles, Thursday at 5:05 PM ET – Yesterday's game stayed under the total but the Orioles had their best starter, John Means, on the mound. The Yankees have now won 4 of 5 games and had scored 6 or more runs in 4 straight games prior to yesterday's 4-3 win. On Thursday, the Orioles bullpen is more likely to be exposed as Chris Ellis gets the start here. Yes he was solid against the Yankees when he faced them two weeks ago but they'll be better in the rematch. Also, he has averaged less than 5 innings in his 4 starts this season. The Yankees start Jordan Montgomery and he is off a rough road outing. Also, at Baltimore this season Montgomery has allowed 7 earned runs on 12 hits in only 8 innings of work. Ellis has walked 7 in 10 innings over his last two starts and we are expecting plenty of base runners for both clubs in this one. Prior to yesterday's low-scoring loss, the Orioles had allowed an average of 9.7 runs per game over their past 7 games. The over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 games against a right-handed starter. This total is in the 10 range and our computer math model shows this one getting into a range of a dozen runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and having a solid shot of getting to 5 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 11 runs (6-5 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet the Over