#399 ASA PLAY ON 8* Nebraska +5 over Michigan State, Saturday at 7 PM ET - Prior to the season the Huskers would have been a slight favorite in this game and now just a few weeks later we’re getting nearly a TD with Nebraska. We love the value here. On top of that, Nebraska is playing really well right now. Let’s throw out their season opening loss @ Illinois (we were on the Illini) and since they are 2-1 with their only loss coming by 7-points last week @ #3 ranked Oklahoma. The Huskers actually outgained the Sooners on a YPP basis (6.0 to 5.9) and only punted twice the entire game. They were every bit the equal of Oklahoma last week and could have easily won that game. The previous week Nebraska rolled over a solid Buffalo program 28-3 and had a over 500 yards of total offense. That win looks much better now after Buffalo took #16 Coastal Carolina to the wire last week losing by a FG. The defense has looked light years better than last year allowing just 4 TD’s in their last 3 games. QB Martinez looked shaky in the season opening loss @ Illinois but has since played the best football of his career completing 49 of his 67 pass attempts (73%) with only one turnover in the last 3 games and that was a highlight reel interception by OU last week. He’s also run for 179 yards in those 3 games. MSU is improved no doubt but we have to ask how impressive are their wins? They beat NW to open the season and the Cats are flat out bad this year (lost @ Duke last week). MSU then beat Youngstown State. Throw that out. Last week they led Miami 17-14 in the 4th quarter before scoring a few late TD’s to win 38-17. The game wasn’t that lopsided as the yardage was about even but the Canes had 4 turnovers (0 for MSU) and 2 of those giveaways led to a 13 yard TD drive and a 23 yard TD drive for Sparty. Miami FL could easily be 0-3 on the season as their lone win was vs App State by 2 points in a game they could have lost. Michigan State has historically been a terrible home favorite with just a 1-12 ATS record their last 13 in that spot. The Spartans were just 3-point dogs a few weeks ago vs Northwestern and now they are laying 5 points vs a much better Nebraska team? We like the Huskers to have a great shot at pulling the upset here.