#495/496 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 50.5 Points – Green Bay vs San Francisco, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET - The Niner offense averaged a ridiculous 8.0 YPP in their week 1 win over Detroit. Last week they played a defense with a pulse @ Philly and only put up 17 points on 4.5 YPP. Green Bay’s defense gave up 38 in week one @ New Orleans but that was quite deceiving as the Saints only had 322 total yards in that game. The Saints had two TD drives of less than 22 yards and averaged 1 point for every 8.4 yards gained which was beyond efficient. The league average for yards per point is usually around 15 which would have translated to 21 points for the Saints with their yardage numbers in that game. Last week they allowed 17 points vs Detroit and held the Lions scoreless in the 2nd half. We project GB’s defense to be very solid this year and SF will have problems on offense Sunday. On the other side of the ball, SF’s defense has been very good. They shut down Philly to just 11 points last week and Detroit had 17 points the week prior with under 3:00 minutes remaining in the game before scoring 2 late TD’s with the Niners in prevent mode. The GB offense looked better in the 2nd half last week but again, that was vs Detroit who projects to have one of the worst defense in the NFL. Even with that, Green Bay is only averaging 4.8 YPP on the season ranking them 26th in the NFL. They struggled big time vs a very good Saints defense (3 points) and we have San Fran’s stop unit on par with New Orleans. Both of these teams are very slow when it comes to pace. Green Bay finished dead last in pace a year ago running one play 31 seconds. San Francisco was 26th in pace last season. This year they both rank below 22nd in pace. With SF favored in the 3-point range, the expected score is right around 27-24. We don’t see either teams getting to their projected scoring numbers. Take the UNDER here.