#109/110 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 51.5 Points- Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia, Thursday at 8:15 PM ET - Both of these teams play at a fast pace which should give us plenty of offensive opportunities. Tampa ranks #1 in the NFL in pace averaging 1 play every 25 seconds and Philly is #5 in that category at 1 play every 26.4 seconds. Both offenses are extremely efficient with each ranking in the top 10 averaging more than 6 YPP. Tampa has been in 4 high scoring games and just 1 low scoring game. Their only stinker on offense was @ New England in a driving rainstorm vs a coach who knows what it takes to slow down a Brady led offense. Their other 4 games all went over the total and all reached at least 58 points with an average combined score of 63 points. The Eagle defense has faced 2 similar offenses this year in Dallas & KC and they allowed 41 & 42 points in those 2 games respectively. Philly will have to keep up on offense here if they want a shot at a win. We think they can. The Tampa defense has dropped off drastically from last season allowing 24 PPG after allowing 21 PPG last season. They’ve had 2 good defensive efforts this year but those were vs 2 offensive teams that rank near the bottom of the NFL in a number if key categories (Miami & New England – 31st & 27th in YPP offense). In their other 3 games the Bucs have allowed 34, 29, and 25 points. This selection is being made on Tuesday and as of now the weather looks perfect in Philly on Thursday night. Tom Brady did injure his thumb last Sunday @ Miami but he did so early in the game and still went on to throw for over 400 yards and 5 TD’s. Reports as of Tuesday say he will be fine on Thursday. The projected final score of this game based on the 7 point spread is Tampa 29.5 – Philadelphia 22.5. Our projections has both teams topping those numbers with TB pushing into the 30’s and the Eagles to the mid 20’s. Take the OVER on Thursday night.