#181 ASA PLAY ON 8* Purdue +11.5 over Iowa, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - We see no way the Hawkeyes have their complete focus for this game. They are coming off a top 10 match up vs Penn State in what was a wild Saturday in Iowa City. We had some friends in the stands for that game and they said the energy from the crowd was off the charts. Iowa was down 17-3 in the game when PSU lost their QB Clifford for the rest of the game with an injury. From that point on, with 12:30 to go in the 2nd quarter, the Penn State offense gained a total of 50 yards. Back up QB Roberson, who had 8 career pass attempts entering the game, was overwhelmed by Iowa’s defense and completed just 7 passes. Even with that Iowa was barely able to squeak out a 23-20 win. Now after that game and with big time rival Wisconsin on deck, the Hawkeyes will be flat here. Purdue is solid this season and they are coming off a bye. They are coming off a 20-13 loss to Minnesota in a game they outgained the Gophers by 150 yards. The Boilers have outgained every opponent they’ve faced this year including their game @ Notre Dame. Their defense is solid ranking 16th nationally allowing just 300 YPG on 4.8 YPP. They should be able to stay in this game facing an Iowa offense that ranks 110th nationally putting up only 317 YPG. Iowa’s YPP differential is nothing to write home about at +0.6 YPP but they’ve been gifted with a ridiculous +18 TO margin in just 6 games! That includes +3 last week vs PSU with their back up QB and again they still only won by a FG. If Purdue can limit turnovers, they’ll have a shot to pull the upset here. Iowa’s offense isn’t good enough to pull away from a solid defense off a bye week. This has been a close series with the last 3 meetings being decided by a total of 12 points. Dangerous spot here for the Hawkeyes and we’ll take the underdog.