#146 ASA FREE PLAY ON Pittsburgh +7.5 over Louisville, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET - Great spot here to grab the home dog of more than a TD coming off a bye. While the Panthers are rested, they get Louisville off a huge home win last week vs Notre Dame and now on the road where the Cards have not performed all that well this season. They are 0-3 ATS away from home this season but have only played 1 true road game in an opponent’s stadium. They struggled to beat NC State on the road coming from 10 down in the 2nd half to win by 3. In their other 2 “road” games they faced a bad Indiana team in Indianapolis (@ Colts stadium) and only won 21-14 and then had to come from 15 points down in the 2nd half vs a pretty average Georgia Tech team in a game played at the Falcons stadium. Pitt makes the switch at QB going from Jurkovec who has been poor this season (50% completion rate) and Penn State transfer Veilleux will get the start. The Louisville defense has no film on him and will be flying a bit blind in this game as far as Pitt’s game plan. Veilleux has had 2 weeks to practice with the 1’s due to the bye and we think he brings a spark to a Pitt offense that struggled with Jurkovec at QB. The Panther defense is solid. They rank in the top 25 in both total defense and YPP allowed. The Panthers have played only 2 FBS home games this season losing 27-21 vs Cincinnati and 41-24 vs UNC. The UNC game was much closer as they defense held a potent Tar Heel offense to just 5.4 YPP but North Carolina but lost the turnover battle 3-0. Pitt was +7 in that home game vs UNC and now they are getting more than that vs Louisville in a perfect spot for the Panthers? This one goes to the wire as all Louisville road games have, and we’ll take the points.