#267/268 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 44.5 Points – Jacksonville vs Seattle, Sunday at 4 PM ET - Everyone watched the offensive debacle between New Orleans and Seattle on Monday night (Saints 13-10 win) and that has pushed this total lower than it should be. The total in that game was 42 and that was with Seattle facing one of the best defenses in the NFL (Saints 6th in YPP allowed and 3rd in DVOA defense), a poor offense (Saints 27th in YPP gained), and a team that ranks dead last in the NFL in pace. Now we’re getting almost the same number vs a Jacksonville defense that ranks dead last in DVOA defense & 31st in YPP allowed, a decent offense (Jags 13th in YPP gained) and a team that ranks first in the NFL in pace. Seattle’s offense hasn’t been great but they’ve faced 3 straight very solid defensive teams (Rams, Steelers, and Saints). Geno Smith and company will look much better vs a Jax defense that allows 420 YPG (30th in the NFL). Same with Jacksonville coming off a bye and facing a Seattle defense that ranks 31st in the same category allowing 428 YPG. This is the lowest total of the year for Jacksonville and the 2nd lowest for Seattle just 1 point lower than their game on Monday night as we mentioned. The weather last Monday night was poor (rain and wind) but looks perfect for Sunday. We’re comfortable with both teams topping 20 points in this game and we like the OVER.