#467/468 ASA PLAY ON Over 49.5 Points – LA Chargers vs Philadelphia, Sunday at 4 PM ET - Two of the fastest paced teams in the NFL square off here with the Chargers ranking 2nd averaging 1 play every 25.8 seconds and Philly ranking 5th running 1 play every 26.5 seconds. Needless to say we’ll see a lot of offensive snaps in this game which gives us more opportunities to score points. Both of these offense rank in the top 12 in YPP gained and each offense matches up very well with the opposing defense. LA likes to throw the ball with QB Herbert and the Philly defense ranks dead last allowing opposing QB’s to complete almost 75% of their pass attempts. Philadelphia is a solid running team (4th in rushing YPC) and the Charger defense sits dead last in the NFL allowing 5.1 YPC. Both teams are very solid on 3rd down (11th and 13th in 3rd down conversion rate) which keeps drives alive. On the other side of the ball, neither defense is good at getting teams off the field on 3rd down with the Chargers ranking 28th & Eagles 26th in defensive 3rd down conversion rate. The Eagle defense has had 2 solid performances since mid September and their opponents in those games were Detroit who ranks 31st in DVOA offense and Carolina who ranks 29th. In their other 4 games since September 19th this defense has allowed 41, 42, 28, and 33 points. The Chargers defense played well early in the season however over their last 3 games they’ve allowed 42, 34, and 27 points. The weather looks good in Philly on Sunday with highs in the 50’s and light winds. This final score projects in the 25-24 range and we like both offenses to top those numbers. Over is the play.