ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 40.5 Points – Chicago @ Pittsburgh, Monday at 8:15 PM ET - This should be a low scoring, grinder type game. The strength of both teams are their defenses. The Chicago defense is coming off 2 subpar performances but those games were vs TB (2nd DVOA offense) and San Fran (7th DVOA offense). We expect them to bounce back tonight vs Pittsburgh offense that is 26th in scoring averaging just 18.9 PPG. The Steeler offense has topped 24 points only one time the entire year. Chicago’s offense is averaging just 14.8 PPG since Fields took over at QB (15.4 PPG for the entire season). They have topped 20 points just twice this year, once vs Detroit (24 points) who ranks 31st in the NFL in points allowed and vs SF (22 points) who ranks 25th in points allowed. The SF game was last week and that Niner defense is definitely trending downward after giving up 30+ to Arizona yesterday with their back up QB. Chicago ranks dead last in the NFL averaging 4.4 YPP and Pittsburgh is 25th in that category at 5.2 YPP. Facing an aggressive Steeler defense that ranks 10th in the NFL DVOA won’t be a recipe for success for the Bears struggling offense. These 2 have combined to play 15 games this season with only 3 going over the total. Chicago games are averaging 39 total points and Pittsburgh games are averaging 39 points so while this total seems low, it’s really not. The projected score based on the point spread and this total is right around Pittsburgh 23.5, Chicago 16.5. Again that seems low but that means both teams would have to eclipse their season average in points scored (Pitt by 4.5 points and Chicago by 1 point). We just don’t see that happening here. Take the Under tonight.