#465 ASA FREE PLAY ON Houston +10.5 over Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Tennessee has gone through a gauntlet of 5 games vs solid competition, winning them all, and is bound for a letdown here. On top of that they have a huge game vs surging New England on deck. The Titans just beat Buffalo, KC, Indy, LA Rams, and New Orleans. They were underdogs in the first 4 games listed. Luck was on their side in many of those games with 3 of them being decided by 3 points or less and the Titans getting outgained by 250 yards combined in those 5 games. Since losing RB Henry to injury, the Titans have played 2 games, been out gained by more than 100 yards, been outrushed in both, yet won by 3 & 2 points. Despite their 8-2 record, Tennessee is getting outgained on the year on both a YPP & YPG basis. Houston is coming off a bye and Tyrod Taylor is back at QB. He also has a game under his belt as he started vs Miami prior to the bye week. The Texans last that game but outgained the Fins but were -3 TO’s. Taylor gives the Texans a much better chance to be successful offensively. While Houston is off a bye, Tennessee is playing their 11th straight week and they are really banged up with 4 starters out on defense and 2 more on IR. In a weird situation, Tennessee is 5-0 SU this season as an underdog and just 3-2 SU as a favorite including a loss vs the Jets. We expect Houston to hang around here.