#455 ASA PLAY ON 8* Indianapolis +7.5 over Buffalo, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Colts are still undervalued after losing their first 3 games of the season. They have since won 5 of their last 7 with their 2 losses during that stretch both coming in OT @ Baltimore and @ Tennessee. They led both those games by 14 points or more so this team could easily be on a 7-0 run. Indy is playing as well as anyone in the AFC right now and getting a full TD here is too much. Buffalo started the season red hot but they’ve since lost 2 of their last 4 games. It’s been nearly a month since the Bills have played a formidable opponent as they’ve faced Miami, Jacksonville, and the NY Jets the last 3 weeks. They were favored by 13.5 or more in each of those games. They struggled with Miami (up just 10-3 entering the 4th quarter) and lost to Jacksonville. Buffalo has the league’s top point differential and they have a number of blowouts, but all but 1 of those easy wins have come against the worst teams in the NFL (Miami (twice), NY Jets, Houston, and Washington). They have played the NFL’s easiest schedule to date not facing a single team ranked inside FB Outsiders top 13 DVOA. Indy will be the highest rated team they’ve faced this season. This is also a revenger for the Colts as these 2 faced off here in Buffalo in the playoffs last year. The Bills won that game 27-24 but were -75 total yards, -67 rushing yards, and -5 first downs. Indy QB Wentz quietly having a very good season with 17 TD’s and 3 interceptions while RB Taylor has become the NFL’s best. We see this one tight throughout and we’ll grab the 7 points with the Colts.