pitchers with action: #958 ASA PLAY ON San Diego -130 over Milwaukee, Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET - These 2 have split the first 2 games of this series but the Padres have outhit the Brewers in both games. In last night’s 4-1 loss to Milwaukee, the Brewers managed 4 runs on just 5 hits while San Diego had 8 hits. We expect the Brewers to struggle to find hits again this afternoon with the Padres sending Yu Darvish to the mound. He’s been fantastic at home this year with a 2-0 record and a 1.37 ERA. He’s allowed only 13 baserunners at home this year in 20 innings of work. His lifetime ERA at Petco Park is just 3.12 and he averages 11 K’s per game at home per 9 innings. San Diego had to face Milwaukee ace and Cy Young award winner Corbin Burnes yesterday. They actually fared quite well with 7 baserunners in 6 innings. Today they face lefty Ashby who is mainly a reliever and gets a few starts now and then. He has much better lifetime numbers out of the bullpen compared to when he starts (3.60 ERA to 4.60 ERA). On top of that, the Padres have been very successful vs left handers this season averaging 5.5 RPG, a full 1 RPG more than vs right handed pitchers. Once the starters exit the Padres have the better bullpen numbers overall with an ERA close to even with Milwaukee but a lower WHIP, opponent batting average, and opponent OB percentage. That edge gets even greater with Brewer closer Hader not available in this series. Take San Diego at home this afternoon.