#960 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado -120 over Miami, Tuesday at 8:40 PM ET - Colorado took the series opener yesterday by a final score of 7-1. Miami lost that game decisively with their ace Lopez on the mound and they’ve now won just 2 of their last 10 games. Offense has been a big problem as the Marlins have failed to score more than 4 runs in any of their last 10 games. Even yesterday vs an inexperienced starter for Colorado (Feltner) making his first start at home this season, Miami was only able to score 1 run on 5 hits. On the road this year they have a record of just 9-14 with a batting average of .223 while averaging only 3.5 RPG. They face a pitcher with a high ERA today but the Rockies German Marquez is a veteran whose overall numbers indicate he’s pitching better than his ERA might indicate. His xERA and xFIP (3.85) are much lower than his overall ERA (6.20) and he’s been very unlucky this season with a BABIP (batting average on balls in play) of .350. He’s been one of the Rockies most consistent starters over the last 5 seasons and current players on the Miami roster are hitting just .216 lifetime vs Marquez. We’ve been looking for a spot to jump on this underrated starter and we feel this is it. Miami will be sending Cabrera to the mound for the first time this season. He’s made only 7 lifetime appearances in the big leagues and his ERA is nearly 6.00 in those games. His overall ERA is the Minor leagues for his career is a pretty average 4.20. He’ll be facing a Colorado offense that simply gets the job done at home. They have a batting average of .279 at home this season while averaging 6.4 RPG. The Rockies have twice as many wins at home this season (14) as they do on the road (7) and they’ve topped Miami 7 straight times in Denver. Cabrera will be making his first ever start in the Colorado high altitude and we look for him to struggle. We’re getting a low money line price in our opinion here so we’ll grab Colorado in the -120 range.