ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Colorado Avalanche Money Line -115 over Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 8:05 PM ET - This Avalanche team that lost Game 5 on home ice will bounce back here. That is the kind of loss strong teams bounce back from and certainly the Avs have been the stronger team in terms of how they match up with Tampa Bay in this series. Looking at the shots on goal statistics throughout this series, Colorado continues to be the better of the two teams in generating offense as they have registered 41 more shots on goal in the 5 games thus far and have only been outshot in one of the games. The Avalanche, prior to the Game 5 loss, had won an incredible 15 of their 18 playoff games this season. Also, Colorado started the post-season with a win that was off a loss in their regular season finale. This team knows how to respond off defeat and has won their next game all 3 times this post-season when coming off a loss. The Avalanche set up well for a big bounce back here at a solid money line price because they are on the road here and that keeps the price manageable. Colorado has been a "road warrior" throughout post-season as they have won 8 of their 9 contests away from home. Road team keeps coming up in the modeling run from this one per our computer math model. Look for the Avalanche to hoist the Stanley Cup on Tampa Bay ice by the time the final horn sounds on this one. Lay the short money line price with road favorite Colorado as it is a big value play here.