#317 ASA PLAY ON 8* Kansas State +3.5 over TCU, Saturday at 8 PM ET - Very solid situation advantage spot for KSU in this game. The Wildcats are coming off a bye week and they are facing a TCU team that is playing their 5th consecutive Saturday and all have been big games so to speak. The last 4 weeks the Horned Frogs have played cross town arch rival SMU, Big 12 power Oklahoma (OU played without their starting QB), an undefeated at the time Kansas team, and a huge game last week vs Oklahoma State. Last week they trailed at home to OSU by 14 in the 4th quarter, pushed the game to OT where TCU won 43-40 on double OT. Can the Frogs possibly bring their “A” game again this week vs a high level opponent off a bye? We don’t think so. That was such a tough stretch of games we just don’t see it. KSU steps into this game with a 5-1 SU record (4-1-1 ATS) facing the 26th toughest schedule in the country. They have won 3 straight vs Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and Iowa State. The Cats have the defensive advantage here allowing 40 fewer total YPG and 0.4 fewer YPP. TCU’s offensive numbers are impressive, however we think the Wildcats will have some very solid success on the ground and control this game in the trenches. KSU QB Martinez (former Nebraska starter) has been very solid this year both through the air (900 yards passing and 4 TD’s) and on the ground (546 yards rushing) and can be very difficult to defend. TCU has decent defensive numbers vs the rush, however this will be the best running team they’ve faced this season (KSU ranks 7th nationally at 244 rush YPG). The one similar type team TCU faced was Kansas who has a mobile QB and can run the ball. In that game KU’s QB Daniels went out early in the game and the Jayhawks were still able to put up nearly 200 yards rushing. The early week forecast calls for 20 MPH winds which will definitely benefit KSU as TCU passes the ball much more often (10 more attempts per game). This one sets up very nicely for the dog and we’ll grab Kansas State.