#454 ASA PLAY ON 8* Jacksonville Jaguars -3 over NY Giants, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Hmm…There is a reason the team that has a 2-4 record is favored over the team with a 5-1 record in this game. This is just a huge game for the underrated Jags at home. They can’t afford to drop to 2-5 and they are viewing this 3 game home stand (Giants, Broncos, Chiefs) as a chance to get back on track. The Jags have the 9th best YPP differential in the NFL at +0.45 which would normally equate to a record above .500 rather than a mark of 2-4. They are outgaining their opponents 358 YPG to 333 YPG and they’ve consistently won at the line of scrimmage with a impressive +1.3 yards per carry differential. They led or were tied in the 4th quarter in 3 of their 4 losses this year so their record could obviously be much better. QB Trevor Lawrence has taken a big step forward this year completing almost 66% of his passes (59% last year) with 9 TD’s (12 total passing TD’s last season). He has a solid running game (9th in the NFL) to support him. The Jacksonville offense should thrive vs a NYG defense that ranks 23rd in YPP allowed and was gashed for 7.0 YPP last week vs Baltimore. The Giants were outplayed on the field to the tune of 7.0 YPP (for Baltimore) to 3.8 YPP (for NYG) and allowed 8.7 yards per carry and gained just 2.7 YPC and somehow won the game! That has been a common theme that simply can’t continue. The Giants rank 26th in the NFL in YPP differential yet somehow have a 5-1 record. NY will again be without many of their offensive weapons (3 WR’s) and now their top player on offense, RB Barkley, is not 100% and may not play. If he can’t go the Giants could be a big trouble with their top WR’s out and they rank 31st in passing averaging barely 150 YPG. Lay the FG with Jacksonville at home on Sunday.