#952 ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 on the Run Line (-145) over Colorado Rockies, Sunday at 12:05 PM ET - Raining in Philly this morning but it is supposed to move out of the area well before this very early game gets underway so we should be just fine in terms of getting this one in. We like the Phillies here over the Rockies with action on the pitchers as the home field edge and better overall team gets it done against traditionally road-adverse Colorado. However, we will mention that the expected starting pitchers are Jose Urena for the Rockies and Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia. Taking a look at Wheeler, he struggled in his first start this season as well as his most recent start but those were both road starts. In between these two starts he was at home and he was solid which comes as no surprise. That's because Wheeler dominated at home last season with a 6-3 record and a 1.85 ERA and also the prior season he was 7-5 with a 2.38 ERA in starts in Philly and 4-0 at Citizens Bank Park in 2020. As a member of the division rival Mets prior to 2020, he dominated in terms of minimal hits allowed per innings pitched in starts in Philly. The fact is Wheeler loves it at CBP and dominates a Rockies lineup here that is known for road struggles. The Rockies were 27-54 in road games last season and 26-54 in road games the prior season! On the year this season and last season, 75.5% of the Rockies losses were by at least 2 runs. Phillies, including post-season, are on a hot run in home games including 25-11 last 36. The home/road dichotomy, the edge of Wheeler over Urena (0-3, 9.82 ERA in 2023), the defending NL Champs over one of the worst road teams in MLB...it all adds up to a must play here. We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 in this one and laying a reasonable price in the -145 money range with the Phillies. Lay it!