#917 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Baltimore Orioles -1.5 on the Run Line (+110) over Kansas City Royals, Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET - We will talk about the starting pitchers in a moment but select action on the pitchers when placing this bet as this is a top play for us regardless of the starting pitchers.  The Orioles have the #1 bullpen in MLB thus far with a 10-4 record and 2.86 ERA.  The Royals are one of the worst bullpens in MLB with a 3-5 record and 5.26 ERA.  Kansas City is an incredibly bad 1-12 in home games this season!  Baltimore is 12-3 in night games this season.  The Orioles do have a fair number of 1-run wins this season but this does not look like one of them.  This looks like a road rout as this one is a mismatch.  Note too that the Royals 22 losses this season have included 19 by at least a 2-run margin!  As for the pitching match-up here, Tyler Wells has a 2.79 ERA and a fantastic 0.72 WHIP!  The Orioles hurler has had great command of his pitches with 23 strikeouts against just 3 walks and opponents are hitting just .176 against him this season.  The Royals counter with Ryan Yarbrough but he had a 5.11 ERA two years ago.  Then he followed that up with a 3-8 mark and 4.50 ERA last season.  This season he is already a rough 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA!  In his last two appearances at home, Yarbrough has allowed 6 earned runs in 4 innings.  Orioles enter this series with wins in 11 of 13 games.  Of 9 road wins (since winning their season opener by a single run) 8 of them have been victories by 2 or more runs.  This further adds to support for the run line here.  As for Kansas City, the Royals enter this series off a loss following a win.  What is interesting to note is the Royals have not had a standalone loss a single time this season.  Every loss leads to a losing streak.  KC has had losing streaks of 3 games 4 times, a 2 game losing streak, and a 7 game losing streak.  Look for this trend to continue here as the Royals 8-4 loss Sunday at Minnesota likely to be the start of yet another losing streak.  We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a nice comeback price in the +110 money range with the Orioles.  Lay it!