#909 ASA PLAY ON 8* Baltimore Orioles -1.5 on the Run Line (-105) over Kansas City Royals, Thursday at 2:10 PM ET - We will talk about the starting pitchers in a moment but select action on the pitchers when placing this bet as this is a strong play for us regardless of the starting pitchers.  The Orioles have one of the top bullpens in MLB thus far with a 10-4 record and 2.99 ERA.  The Royals are one of the worst bullpens in MLB with a 3-5 record and 5.30 ERA.  Kansas City is an incredibly bad 2-13 in home games this season and just got one of those rare wins yesterday.  Now, Royals off a win and are 0-5 last 5 times they were off a win.  In fact, KC has had only one winning streak - and only a 2 game streak at that! - this season.  The Orioles do have a fair number of 1-run wins this season but this does not look like one of them.  This looks like a road rout as this one is a mismatch.  Note too that the Royals 23 losses this season have included 20 by at least a 2-run margin!  As for the pitching match-up here, Grayson Rodriguez has a 4.07 ERA this season and has not allowed any runs in 10 innings over his past two starts!  The Orioles hurler has 34 strikeouts in his 23 innings this season.  The Royals counter with Jordan Lyles and he is 0-5 with a 6.11 ERA.  In his last two appearances at home, Lyles has allowed a total of 8 earned runs plus 2 homers in each start.  Orioles enter this one with wins in 12 of 15 games.  Of 10 road wins (since winning their season opener by a single run) 9 of them have been victories by 2 or more runs.  This further adds to support for the run line here.  We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 runs in this one and only having to lay a very small price in the -105 money range with the Orioles.  Lay it!