PREMIUM
Early Blowout MLB 8*
(MLB) Boston vs. Philadelphia,
Money Line: -145.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -145.00 Philadelphia (Home)
Result: Loss
#976 ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia Phillies Money Line (-145) over Boston Red Sox, Friday at 7:05 PM ET - We like the Phillies here over the Red Sox with action on the pitchers as the home field edge and situational edge are keys. However, we will mention that the expected starting pitchers are Chris Sale for the Red Sox and Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia. Taking a look at Wheeler, he struggled in his first start this season as well as one other start but those were both road starts. Now he is coming off a stellar outing on the road and also he has dominated again at home all season long which comes as no surprise. That's because Wheeler dominated at home last season with a 6-3 record and a 1.85 ERA and also the prior season he was 7-5 with a 2.38 ERA in starts in Philly and 4-0 at Citizens Bank Park in 2020. As a member of the division rival Mets prior to 2020, he dominated in terms of minimal hits allowed per innings pitched in starts in Philly. The fact is Wheeler loves it at CBP and he has twice as many strikeouts as hits allowed (22-11) in his 3 home starts this season. The Red Sox were 11 games under .500 in road games last season and have a losing record in road games thus far this season! Phillies, including post-season, are on a hot run in home games including 28-12 last 40. The home/road dichotomy, the edge of Wheeler over Sale (8.36 ERA and opponents batting averaged .339 in his road starts this season), the defending NL Champs coming home off a miserable road trip...it all adds up to a must play here. We think we're getting some nice value laying a reasonable price in the -145 money range with the Phillies. Lay it!