#901 ASA PLAY ON 8* Run Line: Colorado Rockies +1.5 runs (-135) over Pittsburgh Pirates, Monday at 6:35 PM ET - The Pirates have lost 7 straight games and we are going to fade them here.  We get line value with a reasonable price on the +1.5 runs on the run line as the Pirates have Mitch Keller on the mound.  This has impacted the pricing of this game and certainly Keller is a solid starting pitcher.  However, the key here is that the Rockies also have a strong starting pitcher on the mound with Kyle Freeland expected to get the ball here.  Additionally, Colorado has won back to back games and they exploded at the plate in yesterday's win.  Keller is 2-0 in home starts this season but he entered this season 3-17 in home starts in his career!  As for Freeland, because he pitches his home starts in hitter-friendly Coors Field, he tends to have inflated ERA numbers overall.  His road ERA numbers in recent seasons have been strong and this season he is pitching consistently well both home and away.  We are aware of his minor neck issue but he still was just fine versus the Brewers in most recent start.  He has been solid in 6 of his 7 starts this season and, ironically, the lone bad one was at home against these Pirates.  Big difference between facing them on the road rather than at home and we expect he will get revenge in this start.  The Rockies have won 6 of 7 games and the only loss was by a single run!  Pittsburgh has lost 7 straight games and also, only 5 of their last 15 home games have been wins by a margin of at least 2 runs.  Don't be surprised if the road team gets the upset over the home team that is mired in a slump but, if the Rockies do fall short, the run line should prove to be ample insurance. Bet the Colorado Rockies +1.5 runs on the run line.