#953/954 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 9.5 Runs – New York Mets @ Cincinnati Reds, Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET - Both these starting pitchers have struggled this season. Expected starters are Luke Weaver for Cincinnati and Max Scherzer for the Mets. We like the over here regardless of the starting pitchers as both teams are off high-scoring losses and games at Great American Ballpark continue to trend toward big runs. Also, these two bullpens have ERA numbers that rank them in the middle of the pack this season. Certainly, neither pen has been special. The Reds last 15 home games have averaged totaling 12 runs apiece with many games reaching the double digit mark in runs. This is a hitter-friendly ballpark and the Mets are ready for a breakout game at the plate after a tough little stretch at the plate followed by scoring 6 runs in the loss to the Rockies Sunday. New York is expected to have Scherzer on the mound and he has a shoulder issue he continues to deal with. Additionally, his first start back after the suspension did not go well. Perhaps the suspension for use of a foreign substance on his glove is in his mind a little bit. That plus the shoulder issue plus the fact he is 38 now is all starting to catch up with him. As for Reds starter Weaver, he has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his 3 starts this season. At the rate he is going, Weaver is on the way to a season with an ERA north of 6.50 for the 3rd time in 4 years! As for the Mets Scherzer, including post-season, he has allowed 25 earned runs in his last 7 starts dating back to October of last year. He just has not been the same pitcher. The Reds are scoring an average of 5 runs per game when at home this season but they also are giving up 5.3 runs per game on the year and the Mets can score well here against Weaver and a suspect bullpen. Over is the call in this one early Tuesday evening.