#928 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 on the Run Line (-110) over Kansas City Royals, Friday at 8 PM ET - There is going to be false market perception here in the betting markets because the Brewers have been slumping but they faced a tough slate while Royals actually have won 4 of 5 but the wins came against bad teams - White Sox and Athletics.  The White Sox and Oakland and Kansas City are 3 of the worst teams in the majors thus far this season.  Facing Milwaukee’s ace Burnes will quickly bring KC back to reality here and the Brewers will break out of their slump tonight.  Burnes has been top notch this season ever since working out the kinks in his first two starts of the season.  Since that time, his ERA is 2.08 and he’s allowed just 20 hits in 30.1 innings of work while striking out 26!  The turnaround for Burnes should not come as a surprise as he led the N.L. in strike outs last season!  Also, in his 2 starts vs Kansas City in his career, Burnes has pitched 12 innings, allowed 6 hits and struck out 18. We are going action on pitchers here because the Royals are expected to start Josh Taylor (6.55 ERA) but he could be more of an opener as he really has not been a starter much at any level in the minors nor at the MLB level.  That being said, KC may even use a different opener and then bring in Taylor.  Either way, expect plenty of Royals bullpen in this one and that is good news for the Brewers lineup as the KC bullpen has a team ERA of 5.11 so far this season which ranks among the worst in MLB.  Remember we mentioned above that Kansas City's recent wins have come against weaker foes and that certainly is worth noting because  Kansas City is a horrible 6-23 against teams with a winning record this season.  Also, the Royals have lost 10 of last 14 road games and they were in action yesterday while the Brewers were resting courtesy of an off day yesterday.  23 of 27 Royals losses this season have been by at least a 2-run margin and 70% of Milwaukee wins this season have been by a multi-run margin.  This game has home blowout written all over it.  We like the Brewers on the run line in this one.