#966 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Minnesota Twins -1.5 on the Run Line (+115) over Milwaukee Brewers, Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET - We will talk about the starting pitchers in a moment but select action on the pitchers when placing this bet as this is a solid play for us regardless of the starting pitchers. The Twins have the #4 bullpen in MLB thus far based on opponents batting average with a .223 BAA. For bullpen ERA, Minnesota ranks 7th with a 3.50 ERA while the Brewers rank 22nd with a 4.29 ERA. Milwaukee is on a 5-game losing streak. That included an ugly series sweep at home at the hands of the league-worst Athletics. Then, the manner of loss yesterday in the Brewers 5th straight defeat will be really tough to come back from. Milwaukee led that game 5-3 going to bottom of the 9th but then allowed 4 runs including 2 on a walk-off homer that finished them off. The Brewers are in a major slump now and so a loss in that fashion is devastating in more ways than one. Note that Milwaukee's 33 losses this season have included 29 by at least a 2-run margin! The Twins 34 wins have included 27 by at least a 2-run margin. So the odds here certainly favor a Twins win coming by a multi-run margin. Minnesota has won 15 of 25 home games since late April. The Brewers have lost 13 of 20 road games over roughly the same time frame. As for the pitching match-up here, the Brewers Colin Rea has allowed 10 earned runs in 16 innings in his last 3 road starts! The Twins counter with Bailey Ober and he has a 2.61 ERA and has held opponents to a .200 batting average in his 9 starts this season. The Brewers 5-game losing streak appears destined to add another defeat today and 12 of the last 13 losses for Milwaukee have been by a multi-run margin. We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a nice comeback price in the +115 money range with the Twins. Lay it!