#924 ASA PLAY ON 8* Baltimore Orioles -1.5 on the Run Line (+120) over New York Mets, Sunday at 1:35 PM ET - We will talk about the starting pitchers in a moment but select action on the pitchers when placing this bet as this is a play for us regardless of the starting pitchers. The Orioles have the #4 bullpen in MLB thus far with a 30-14 record and 3.59 ERA. The Mets are one of the weaker bullpens in MLB with a 16-23 record and 4.30 ERA. New York is 24-37 in road games this season! The Mets have lost 5 straight games and been defeated in 8 of last 9 on the road. Baltimore is 23-7 in games against teams with a losing record this season and also enters this game having won 20 of 27 games dating back to early July. The Orioles do have a fair number of 1-run wins (29%) this season but this does not look like one of them. This looks like a home blowout as this one is a mismatch. Note too that the Mets 60 losses this season have included 43 by at least a 2-run margin! As for the pitching match-up here, Kyle Bradish has been solid this season and this is particularly true at home where he has a 2.39 ERA this season and has held opponents to a .202 batting average! The Orioles hurler has allowed just 6 earned runs in 46 and 2/3 innings over his last 7 home starts!  Bradish has had only one bad home start this season and that was way back in April!  The Mets counter with Jose Quintana and he has only made 3 starts so far and has been hit at a .281 clip in those outings.  Orioles enter this game with wins in 25 of 37 games against left-handed starters this season. Each of the last 6 Orioles wins have been victories by 2 or more runs. This further adds to support for the run line here. As for New York, their overall struggles and road struggles continue after the fire sale that further dampened team morale as they were in sell mode come the trade deadline.  We think we're getting some nice value laying -1.5 runs in this one and getting a nice comeback price in the +120 money range with the Orioles. Lay it!