#471 ASA PLAY ON Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 at Denver Broncos, Sunday at 4:25 PM ET - In Week 1 we will back this Divisional Underdog which falls into a very profitable system dating back several years. In the last eight years if you had blindly bet Divisional Dogs in Wk #1, you would have produced a 31-13-2 ATS record or 70.4% returns. Also, Divisional Road dogs of +6.5 points or less are on an 18-7-1 ATS streak since 2013. The Raiders have won 6 straight in this rivalry and don’t be surprised if they make it 7 in a row after Sunday. Las Vegas has a new QB in Jimmy Garoppolo after Derek Carr departed for New Orlean. Jimmy G is an upgrade considering Carr who is coming off a down year with a 60.8 completion % (lowest since 2014) and 24 TD’s with 14 INT’s. For all the knocks on Garoppolo he is 40-17 SU as a regular season starter in his career. He won’t have to carry the load either with RB Josh Jacobs and WR Davante Adams on the roster. Jacobs led the league in rushing yards a year ago and Adams caught 14 TD’s, most in the league. Denver brought in head coach Sean Payton to try and revive this team and namely QB Russell Wilson. Wilson struggled last season with a 38.7QBR and 16 TD’s to 11 INT’s, some of his worst numbers since coming to the NFL. The Broncos were 21st in rushing yards per game, last in scoring at 16.9PPG, 23rd in Yards Per Play (5.1) and 19th in passing yards per game. Denver certainly holds an advantage defensively in this match up, but we do expect Las Vegas to be better on that side of the football this season. In the two meetings last year the Raiders outgained the Broncos 792 total yards to 619 and they’ve won 3 straight in the series as an Underdog. As long as this is +3 or more, we will grab the points.