#156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET - Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall. App State is 1-3 SU on the road with only win over UL Monroe by 1 point which was far from an impressive road win. ULM is just 1-7 on the season vs FBS teams with their only win coming over Army by 4 points. Geogia State has played the much tougher Sun Belt schedule so far having faced JMU, Troy, Ga Southern, and ULL (all of the top teams in the league). App State has yet to play either of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt, JMU and Troy. Georgia State should control ground game in this one which is key. They have a very good running team averaging 187 YPG and App State is 123rd defensively vs the run allowing 195 YPG. The Mountaineers remain overvalued having covered just once in their last 5 games. We like Georgia State as a small home favorite.