#457/458 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 45 Points – Indianapolis vs Atlanta, Sunday at 1 PM ET - Atlanta is off terrible offensive showing last week losing 9-7 which is giving us some value on this total. Last week’s game @ Carolina was in a monsoon with rain and wind make it very tough on the offenses. On top of that, Carolina can’t score so the Falcons weren’t pressed to keep up so to speak on the scoreboard. The Falcons had a lead the vast majority of the game so they stuck to a conservative game plan (12 completed passes & 31 rush attempts). Atlanta is making a switch at QB going back to Heinecke which many times gives the offense a 1 game boost. In the 2 games he started this season the Falcons averaged 25.5 PPG and those games totaled 59 and 51 points. They have been terrible on offense on the road averaging 13 PPG but at home they are averaging almost 24 PPG. The Colts have been an Over team all season long. They have gone over the total 10 times this year which is the most in the NFL. Their defense is a liability ranking 8th in scoring allowing 24.5 PPG (27th in the NFL). On the other side of the ball Indy is a top 10 scoring offense and they’ve put up at least 27 points in 6 of their last 8 games. They are also a very fast paced team ranking 2nd in the NFL in seconds per play. We have perfect conditions inside in Atlanta and we look for both offenses to thrive on Sunday. Over is the play.