ASA top play on 10* UNDER 168 Minnesota Lynx at NY Liberty, 7 PM ET - We are grabbing the additional value in the number and will play Under in this game. The opening number on this game was 163 but has since moved to where it currently stands, which is too high according to our model. These two teams just met in the Commissioners Cup and produced 183 total points. But there were some anomalies in that game which are not expected to happen this time around. Combined these two teams attempted 138 total field goals which is just two more than league average, yet they scored 21 more points than the league average. Both teams shot well above season standards as the Lynx hit 48% overall, 48% from Deep and were 100% from the FT line. New York had a great shooting game as well with a 45% field goal percentage, 41% from the 3-point line and 83% from the FT line. Granted, these two teams are two of the best shooting teams in the league, but they are also two of the best defensive teams with the Lynx ranking 1st overall in Defensive Net rating, while the Liberty are 4th. Minnesota gives up just 74.3PPG (2nd) while the Liberty allow 78.2PPG (4th). With a slower tempo expected and two great defenses we predict a total of 161.