#329 ASA PLAY ON James Madison +11 over North Carolina, Saturday at 12 PM ET - Looks like UNC may start their 3rd string QB in this one, Jacolby Criswell, as they search for a passing game. Criswell entered last week’s game in favor of 2nd stringer Harrell who is struggling to get anything going through the air. Original starting QB Johnson had a season ending injury in their season opener @ Minnesota. Last week’s FCS opponent, NC Central, gave UNC everything they could handle despite the final score. It turned into a blowout win but UNC led just 17-10 in the 4th quarter. That’s an NC Central team that lost 41-19 vs Elon a week prior. JMU gets their shot at a high profile opponent here and they had last week off to get ready for this one. The Dukes should be able to focus on the run defensively in this one vs a one dimensional Tar Heel offense. UNC ranks outside the top 100 in passing YPG, passing attempts per game and completions per game. With very little passing attack, we think it will be tough for the Heels to pull away in this game. JMU steps in with a 2-0 record and these two both played Charlotte this season so we have a solid comparison point. JMU played @ Charlotte, won by 23 points and outgained the 49ers by and impressive +2.9 yards per play. UNC played host to Charlotte, won by 18 and outgained the 49ers by just +0.4 YPP. The Tar Heels remain overvalued by the markets with an 0-7-1 ATS run (vs FBS opponents) losing those games by 75 combined points vs the number. The heels are also just 1-8 ATS their last 9 games when posted as a double digit favorite. UNC has a huge game on deck vs in-state rival Duke and we like James Madison to keep this one close. Take the points.