#409 ASA PLAY ON Auburn +4 over Missouri, Saturday at 12 PM ET - Missouri is 5-1 on the season and ranked in the top 20. Auburn is 2-4 on the season yet this line is only Mizzou -4.5 at home? The Auburn Tigers are much better than their record this season. Despite being 2 games under .500, Auburn has outgained their opponents by an average of +107 YPG and they have a +2.3 YPP margin. That’s facing a very tough schedule to date (36th SOS) having already played Georgia, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. The problem with Auburn has been turnovers. They are already -11 turnovers on the season which is dead last in the country. If they can rectify that, this team is really quite good. They rank in the top 35 nationally in both total offense and total defense. Missouri has played a light weight schedule this season. Their strength of schedule is ranked 111th which is the 2nd easiest at the Power 4 level ahead of only Indiana. They’ve faced only 1 team this season power rated inside our top 50 and that was Texas A&M who rolled Missouri 41-10 outgaining the Tigers 512 to 254. The only other 2 teams with a pulse that Mizzou has faced this year were home games vs Vandy (Tigers won in OT) and Boston College (Tigers won by 6). Despite playing an ultra easy schedule, Missouri is just +1.1 YPP margin which is far worse than Auburn’s who has faced a much more difficult slate. Auburn is coming off a bye week and they’ve won all 3 meetings vs Missouri. If Auburn can keep their turnovers in check, they’ll have a great shot to win this game outright.