#400 ASA PLAY ON Arkansas +3 over LSU, Saturday at 7 PM ET - Great situational spot here for the Razorbacks at home. They are coming off a bye week while LSU is off an OT, come from behind, win over Ole Miss last Saturday. In that win vs Ole Miss the Tigers were outgained, only had 84 yards on the ground, and needed a long drive in the final 3 minutes (aided by two 4th down conversions) just to get to OT where they won 29-26. This is a tough spot now going on the road vs a solid Arkansas team that had big momentum heading into the bye upsetting Tennessee here at home. In their only true road game this season, LSU topped South Carolina 36-33, but trailed by 17 points in the first half. They led for just over 2:00 total minutes in that win. They probably should have lost that game along with their game vs Ole Miss last week which would have put them at a 3-3 record and we’re talking about a completely different line in this game if that was the case. Even their lone loss this season, 27-20 vs USC, isn’t looking great as the Trojans are now just 3-3. These 2 SEC rivals have played almost identical strength of schedules to date, yet Arkansas has the better point differential, YPG margin, and YPP margin. We also like that the host should have a solid advantage on the ground with a +94 YPG rushing margin on the season while LSU is -4 YPG rushing this season. Razor QB Green was banged up in his last game, a win over Tennessee, but looks like he’s ready to go coming off the bye. The Razorbacks have covered 7 of their last 8 as a dog and head coach Pittman has covered 22 of his last 30 when getting points. We’ll call for another on Saturday.