Day Game Blowout MLB
(MLB) Dodgers (LAD) vs. Rockies (COL),
Total: 11.50 | -117.00 Over
Result: Loss
#903/904 ASA PLAY ON Over 12 Runs – Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies, Thursday at 3:10 PM ET - The 3 games so far in this 4-games series have all totaled at least 13 runs and these games have averaged 15.7 runs. We do not see that changing here. Dodgers starting pitcher Gavin Stone has great numbers this season but his last road start saw him allow 8 hits in under 6 innings on the hill. This is the first ever start at Coors Field for the 25-year old right-hander. Known as a very tough ballpark to pitch in, it comes as no surprise that it is particularly tough on pitchers when making their first ever start at the most hitter-friendly park in the majors. Also, Rockies lefty Ty Blach allowed only 2 earned runs but on 7 hits in less than 6 innings of work in his most recent start. The last 3 starts for Blach saw him allow 10 earned runs on 25 hits in less than 16 innings on the mound. Opponents have hit .350 against Blach in day game starts this season. Last season he got hit at a .330 clip and this is a very hittable pitcher facing a lineup that, even without Mookie Betts, is a very tough one! Miguel Rojas has been the main guy filling in for Betts and he Rojas is hitting .288 on the season. This year, the Dodgers .445 slugging percentage on the road ranks 1st in the NL The Rockies .266 batting average at home ranks 1st in the NL as well! Given the pitching match-up and the fact that the Rockies have a MLB-worst 5.88 bullpen ERA, we would not be surprised to see each team get to the 6-run mark here and we see at least 13 runs as a result in this one. Our computer math model shows a range of 13 to 14 as the most likely occurrence with the final run tally here and many simulations show a final run tally in the range of 15 runs here. Over is the call in this one in Thursday late afternoon action.