Given all the rule changes favoring offense and Toronto's fast-paced, top-ranked offense and mediocre defense, it's hard NOT to go over a Leafs game when the total is 6 or less.

The Maple Leafs are averaging 4.7 goals per game. That's the best in the NHL. Toronto has gone Over in five of its six games.

Toronto averaged 4.2 goals against Detroit in sweeping the Red Wings last season.

Detroit looks improved this season. The Red Wings have a top 12 offense and are averaging four goals a game during their last four matchups.

The Red Wings catch a break, too, in that Toronto is going with backup goalie Curtis McElhinney for the first time this season.