Missouri is overrated and Texas' Tom Herman is one of the great underdog coaches.

The Tigers haven't beaten a good team all season. All of their SEC victories were against sub .500 teams.

Texas has a much better defense than Missouri and I like Herman far more than Tigers coach Barry Odom.

If you go back to when he was Ohio State's offensive coordinator and go through when he was the head man at Houston and now at Texas, Herman is an astounding 15-1 ATS as an underdog. The Longhorns rank sixth in the nation in run defense. They held five opponents to 14 points or less.

Texas' defense will be able to handle Missouri's spread attack having faced multiple spread offenses this season along with great quarterbacks Sam Darnold, Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph. Texas went 3-0 ATS against those quarterbacks holding USC to 24 points in regulation, Oklahoma to under 30 points and Oklahoma State to 10 points in regulation, which was 36 points under the Cowboys' season average.

The Longhorns have their quarterbacks healthy and are facing an inferior defensive team.